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Jason Samenow Jason Samenow Editor and writer covering weather and climate Email Bio Follow June 17 at 5:00 AM Flash Flood Watch for most of area and to north from 2pm to 10pm today. TODAY’S DAILY DIGIT A somewhat subjective rating

Flash Flood Watch for most of area and to north from 2pm to 10pm today.

TODAY’S DAILY DIGIT

A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

4/10: High humidity and high storm chances (late in the day). Not exactly how I’d draw it up.

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EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Muggy with afternoon/evening storms. Highs: 85-90.

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Tonight: Even showers/storms. Lows: 65-70.

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Tomorrow: Muggy with afternoon/evening storms. Highs: 84-88.

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View the current weather at The Washington Post headquarters.

FORECAST IN DETAIL

A very warm, humid weather pattern has replaced the refreshing conditions late last week. This mugginess fuels storms firing up along a cold front near the region for the first few days this week, especially in the afternoon and evening hours. Some of these storms could be heavy with strong winds and possibly some flooding. The front should finally clear the region late Thursday, setting up a nice Friday and Saturday

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x (The Washington Post/The Washington Post) Today (Monday): It’s one of those days when showers are possible anytime but they become most numerous late in the afternoon and evening. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain and strong winds. Before the bulk of the rain, we should have sun at times, and it’s plenty humid, with highs in the mid-80s to near 90. Winds are light from the west outside storms. Confidence : MediumHigh

Tonight: Showers and storms are likely, and a few pockets of flooding could emerge in the heavier activity. Coverage and intensity of storms should diminish after dark, with lows ranging from 65 to 70. Confidence: MediumHigh

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Tomorrow (Tuesday): It’s a lot like Monday, with partly sunny skies before showers and storms become fairly numerous by the late afternoon and evening. Highs are mostly in the muggy mid-80s with light winds from the west. Confidence: MediumHigh

Tomorrow night: Fairly widespread showers and storms are expected, and areas of flooding are possible in the hardest-hit locations. Late at night, showers and storms should wind down with lows near 70. Confidence: MediumHigh

Kayaking at Great Falls, June 15. (George Jiang/Flickr) A LOOK AHEAD

Showers and storms may be a bit less numerous Wednesday as we’re between disturbances, but even so, scattered activity could develop — especially in the late afternoon and evening. It remains warm and humid, with highs in the low to mid-80s. After a small chance of evening showers and storms, it remains mostly cloudy with lows near 70. Confidence: Medium

We’ll have our fourth straight warm and humid day Thursday as highs target the upper 80s. An approaching cool front probably serves a focus for yet another wave of showers and storms, which may be heavy late in the afternoon and into the early evening. Overnight, some cooler, drier air will try to start filtering into the region as lows fall into the 60s. Confidence: Medium

We should step back to a less humid pattern Friday and Saturday , potentially free of rain. Under partly sunny skies, highs should range from 80 to 85, with overnight lows mostly in the 60s. Confidence: Medium

We probably start to turn more humid by Sunday with a returning chance of some late-day showers or storms. Confidence : Low-Medium

Jason Samenow Jason Samenow is The Washington Post’s weather editor and Capital Weather Gang’s chief meteorologist. He earned a master’s degree in atmospheric science and spent 10 years as a climate change science analyst for the U.S. government. He holds the Digital Seal of Approval from the National Weather Association. Follow   2019 Heat Tracker 6 90-degree days so far Average Year-To-Date 5 Yearly Average 36 Record Most 67 (1980,2010) Record Fewest 7 (1886,1905) Last Year 45 Tweets by @capitalweather Subscriber sign in We noticed you’re blocking ads! Keep supporting great journalism by turning off your ad blocker. Or purchase a subscription for unlimited access to real news you can count on. Try 1 month for $1 Unblock ads Questions about why you are seeing this? Contact us